Adobe’s Flash getting dimmer?
Will the iPad turn out to be the trigger that HTML5 needed for mass adaption? All indicators say yes. From Steve Jobs calling Adobe ‘lazy’ to his remark on stage during the iPad launch when there was a missing flash plugin image on the iPad (‘See what is happening to me today’) one thing is very clear: Flash is not going to be on Steve’s devices any time soon.
HTML5 has been mostly looked upon as a solution without a problem – true, you can embed audio and video using tags but today nobody has a problem embedding those anyways. Its more structured yes, but you can do XHTML today. Like most technologies, widespread adaption requires a need – some kind of a push that will finally make it mainstream.
For HTML5, the iPad could be that trigger. If the device succeeds in creating a solid user base, the users are going to make website publishers move towards HTML5. Really depends on the principal-agent relation between the user and the publisher. And, of course, between Apple and Adobe. Today, Adobe is the principal. Millions of iPads later – that might just change.
That would be the decisive push that HTML5 has required for quite some time now. With the iPad all set to break into business, classroom and gaming in big ways – the ‘Flash’ is definitely getting dimmer.